ADFM Technicals + Analogs

Monthly Seasonality Explorer

One shared sample, one active month, and one comparison year drive the matrix and both companion charts.
About This Tool Purpose, reading guide and primary inputs

Shows recurring monthly return and volatility patterns by asset, index, sector, or commodity.

  1. Set the global lookback; it controls every output on the page.
  2. Select a month for the return distribution and a year for the path overlay.
  3. Apply regime filters, then verify that the conditional sample remains large enough to interpret.

Primary inputs: Yahoo Finance; FRED for selected series and regime tags.

Advanced sample and regime filters

Loading market history and regime observations…